| |
Snapshot Model
This snapshot model provides an illustration of the annual net fiscal
impact of the project in today's dollars for any given year following
its estimated build-out period. For this model, ERA examined the proposed
development scenario for the project:
Moderate Density Master-Planned Community (MPC) Scenario - Assumes
the development of a moderate density mixed-use project, including
all types of residential as well as office, retail, and golf uses. The build-out of this scenario is expressed below:
click
to enlarge
The following assumptions were made regarding revenues and expenditures
for the City
of Fort Worth: Tax
Rates: the property tax rates are:
-
Fort Worth: $0.865/$100 for all
 property
types
Taxable
items: In addition to the value of commercial
property, an additional 50 percent has been added to all
commercial
values to
account for
personal property (e.g., computers and other taxable
equipment). The Fort
Worth actual personal property values
approximate 100% of
the real property values.
|
|
Occupancy
Types: For the purposes
of the fiscal impact analysis, the
assumption
was made that all
residents were permanent primary
residents. Development
Period: It is assumed
that
there will be a development
period
prior to Year 1 for lot
preparation
and project
infrastructure completion.
Year 1
assumes that lot inventory
is
available
and that the housing
units
listed
are completed in that year.
The
related property
tax is assumed
to
be collected in the following year
(i.e.,
taxes for housing units
completed
in Year 1 are collected
in
Year
2).
Revenues
and Expenditures per
Capita
and per Employee: In order
to
calculate the amount of revenue
produced and expenditures incurred
by Fort Worth from the
development,
assumptions needed
to
be made regarding how much
each
additional resident and
employee
affects the town budget:
- The first step in this process was
 to figure out which revenues and
 expenditures in the City
of Fort
 Worth’s budget would be directly
 affected by the project. On the
 revenue side, residential and
 commercial
property taxes can
be  measured by estimating the
 project's value. As such, the
 property tax calculation
was
 eliminated from the per capita/per  employee calculations.
- In order to accurately perform the  per capita and per employee
 calculations,
these "apples and
 oranges" needed to be converted  into
common units. The common  unit used is "resident equivalent."
|
|
 Resident equivalent
units are
 measured by examining the presence  of residents in the town
in eight-hour  segments throughout the course of  the year. So a permanent
resident is  present for all three eight-hour
 segments for the entire
year and an  on-site employee is present for one  eight-hour segment
for 240 working  days during the year.
 - From the City
of Fort Worth's
 budget, ERA calculated the amount  of revenues
(excepting property
 taxes) and expenditures
that resident  equivalent produces. These amounts  were then applied
to the resident
 equivalents in order to estimate total  revenues and
expenditures resulting  from new residents and employees.
Average
Household Size: The
population of the project
was estimated by applying an average household size to single and
multi-family housing
units. These figures are:
- Single Family Units: 2.75 persons
 per
household
- Multi-Family Units: 1.75 persons per
 household
Square
Foot per Employee: The
calculation of on-site
employment was tied directly to the amount of square
feet by type
of space. ERA reviewed
national averages for employment
density in order to determine
square
foot per employee measures for each
type of commercial space.
These
measures are expressed in the table
below:

click to enlarge
All of the above assumptions, combined with the program developed
by the
Walsh Ranch Development Team,
provide the basis for ERA's fiscal
impact analysis models. The net fiscal impact amounts for Fort Worth
depend
completely on these assumptions.
NEXT PAGE>
|